Territorial vulnerability and climate impacts in the Mono Basin (Togo)
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.59228/rcst.026.v5.i1.235Keywords:
vulnerability, flooding, drought, vegetation fires, resilienceAbstract
Against a backdrop of increasingly extreme weather events, including heavy rainfall, prolonged droughts and wildfires, this study provides a comprehensive analysis of the vulnerability of riverside communities in the northern part of the Mono Basin (Togo). Its originality lies in the joint use of quantitative and qualitative approaches, based on a field survey conducted from January to March 2024 among 149 randomly selected individuals. The semi-structured interviews conducted via KoboCollect involved a variety of stakeholders (farmers, community leaders, local elected officials, NGOs/CSOs, municipal services and ANPC), allowing for a comparison of local perceptions, socio-economic realities and environmental risks. The data were analysed using IBM SPSS Statistics 2.0 and R version 4.4.3 softwares. The results confirm a high vulnerability to flooding, drought and vegetation fires, with marked variations between localities. ????2 tests reveal highly significant (p < 0.001) and strong (Cramer's V > 0.50) associations, highlighting territorial heterogeneity. The populations attribute these hazards to seasonal disruption and global warming. The impacts identified are multiple: animal losses, crop destruction, water and fodder shortages, disease and injury during periods of flooding, but also famine, poverty, inactivity and economic losses due to droughts and fires. Public infrastructure appears to be particularly vulnerable, especially during floods. Finally, the study showed a hierarchy of impacts, focusing on the most visible and immediate effects, whether socio-economic or environmental.
Downloads
References
Adger, W.N. et al. (2005). Social-ecological resilience to coastal disasters. Science, 309(5737), 1036–1039.
Archibald S., Lehmann C. E. R., Gómez-Dans J. L., & Bradstock R. A. (2018). Defining pyromes and global syndromes of fire regimes. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 115(7), 1627–1636. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1716470115
Ayanlade A. (2016). Climate variability and the vulnerability of rural farming households in south-western Nigeria. Environment, Development and Sustainability, 18(5), 1573–1588.
Birkmann J. (Ed.). (2013). Measuring vulnerability to natural hazards: Towards disaster resilient societies (2nd ed.). United Nations University Press. https://doi.org/10.18356/36e49e9f-en
Brown A., & Lee J. (2022). Ecological Impacts of Extreme Weather Events on Wildlife Populations. Environmental Science & Policy, 130, 15-28.
Brown L., & Davis M. (2021). Perception of environmental risks: A Pareto distribution analysis. Environmental Psychology Journal, 45(2), 112-125.Chidumayo E. N., & Gumbo, D. J. (2013). The environmental impacts of charcoal production in tropical ecosystems of the world: A synthesis. Energy for Sustainable Development, 17(2), 86–94. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.esd.2012.07.004
Cissé G., Traoré D., & Koné B. (2019). Climate variability, land degradation and population health nexus in the Sahel. Journal of Environmental Science and Policy, 99, 137–146.
Cutter S. L., Boruff B. J., & Shirley W. L. (2013). Social vulnerability to environmental hazards. Social Science Quarterly, 84(2), 242–261. https://doi.org/10.1111/1540-6237.01408
Davies M., & Peterson R. (2021). Resilience of Wildlife Species to Flood Events: A Review. Journal of Wildlife Management, 85(4), 890-905.
Davis M., Roberts T., & Nguyen H. (2021). Geospatial modeling of natural disaster risks: An integrated approach. Environmental Modelling & Software, 137, 104945. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2021.104945
De Luca D. L., Valerio P., & Mancini M. (2017). Rainfall duration and flood risk assessment: A case study in a Mediterranean basin. Water, 9(11), 845. https://doi.org/10.3390/w9110845
Douglas I., Alam K., Maghenda M., McDonnell Y., McLean L., & Campbell J. (2008). Unjust waters: Climate change, flooding and the urban poor in Africa. Environment and Urbanization, 20(1), 187–205. https://doi.org/10.1177/0956247808089156
FAO (2016). Guidelines on livestock and fire management. Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations
FAO (2017). The impact of disasters and crises on agriculture and food security. Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations
FAO (2018). The Impact of Disasters on Agriculture and Food Security. Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations
Field, C. B. (Ed.). (2012). Managing the risks of extreme events and disasters to advance climate change adaptation : special report of the intergovernmental panel on climate change. Cambridge University Press.
Ferris E., Kotecha M., & Leckie S. (2019). Displacement in the Context of Disasters and Climate Change: A Mapping Exercise. Brookings Institution
Few R., & Tran H. (2020). Health Impacts of Floods: A Global Review. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 48, 101683
Garcia R., & Lee S. (2020). Integrated perception of natural disasters and their socio-environmental consequences. Disaster Studies Quarterly, 15(3), 201-215
Gornall, J., Betts, R., Burke, E., Clark, R., Camp, J., Willett, K., & Wiltshire, A. (2010). Implications of climate change for agricultural productivity in the early twenty-first century. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 365(1554), 2973-2989.
Guha-Sapir, D., Vos, F., Below, R., & Ponserre, S. (2011). Annual disaster statistical review 2010. Centre for Research on the Epidemiology of Disasters, 1-80.
Ibarra, S. I. (2024). The Determinants of acceptability of environmental policies (Doctoral dissertation, Université de Rennes).
Change, I. P. O. C. (2001). Climate change 2007 : Impacts, adaptation and vulnerability. Genebra, Suíça.
Johnson A., Williams B., & Chen C. (2022). Direct vs. indirect impacts of flooding: A community perspective. Journal of Environmental Management and Planning, 10(1), 50-65
Johnson P., & Clark L. (2019). Wildlife Response to Flood-Induced Habitat Alterations. Ecological Applications, 29(5)
Jones R., & Evans S. (2018). Assessing the Impact of Flooding on Wildlife Mortality and Displacement. Journal of Environmental Planning and Management, 61(7), 1250-1265
Jonkman, S. N., & Vrijling, J. K. (2008). Loss of life due to floods. Journal of flood risk management, 1(1), 43-56.
Karley N. K. (2009). Flooding and physical planning in urban areas in West Africa: Situational analysis of Accra, Ghana. Theoretical and Empirical Researches in Urban Management, 4(13), 25–41. https://www.jstor.org/stable/24873107
Kousky C. (2014). Informing Flood Risk Management: The Role of Science and Policy. Resources for the Future
Kpadonou R. A. B., Nonvide G. M. A., & Yegbemey R. N. (2017). Perceptions and adaptation strategies to climate change: Insights from farmers in South–West Benin. Environment, Development and Sustainability, 19(3), 1021–1042
Kpesso A., & Anani R. (2020). Land use and flood risk in the Mono Basin, Togo: Spatial assessment and implications. Hydrology Research, 51(4), 889–902. https://doi.org/10.2166/nh.2020.058
Marais E. A., & Wiedinmyer C. (2016). Air quality impact of diffuse and inefficient combustion emissions in Africa (DICE-Africa). Environmental Science & Technology, 50(19), 10739–10745. https://doi.org/10.1021/acs.est.6b02602
Martinez P., & White K. (2024). Socio-economic vulnerabilities and flood impacts: A global perspective. Climate Change and Society, 8(4), 310-325
Mayunga J. S. (2007). Understanding and applying the concept of community disaster resilience: A capital-based approach. Summer Academy for Social Vulnerability and Resilience Building. Munich: UNU-EHS
Niang I., Ruppel O. C., Abdrabo M. A., Essel A., Lennard C., Padgham J., & Urquhart P. (2014). Africa. In V. R. Barros et al. (Eds.), Climate Change 2014: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
Njoku, C. O., Nwankwo, C. U., & Uzoho, B. (2019). Vulnerability of rural infrastructure to wildfires in sub-Saharan Africa. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 39, 101228. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2019.101228
Patel V., Chisholm D., & Parikh R. (2021). Mental Health and Well-being in the Aftermath of Natural Disasters. The Lancet Psychiatry, 8(12), 1083-1090
Pereira J. M. C., Sa A. C. L., & Santos F. L. (2015). Fire impacts on soil and vegetation in Africa. In E. Chuvieco (Ed.), Earth Observation of Wildland Fires in Mediterranean Ecosystems (pp. 167–188). Springer
Pielke Jr, R. A., Gratz, J., Landsea, C. W., Collins, D., Saunders, M. A., & Musulin, R. (2008). Normalized hurricane damage in the United States: 1900–2005. Natural hazards review, 9(1), 29-42.
Reid R. S., Fernández-Giménez M. E., & Galvin K. A. (2014). Dynamics and resilience of rangelands and pastoral peoples around the globe. Annual Review of Environment and Resources, 39, 217–242. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-environ-020713-163329
Smith J., & Jones A. (2023). Global environmental changes and local perceptions of natural hazards. International Journal of Climate Research, 7(1), 25-40
Mackenzie, J. S., Lindsay, M. D., Smith, D. W., & Imrie, A. (2017). The ecology and epidemiology of Ross River and Murray Valley encephalitis viruses in Western Australia: examples of One Health in Action. Transactions of the Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene, 111(6), 248-254.
Sultan B., & Gaetani M. (2016). Agriculture in West Africa in the twenty-first century: Climate change and impacts scenarios, and potential for adaptation. Frontiers in Plant Science, 7, 1262
Tchamba, M., Sadio, N., & Kpesso, A. (2017). Assessment of flood vulnerability in northern Togo using remote sensing and GIS. African Journal of Environmental Science and Technology, 11(4), 180–192. https://doi.org/10.5897/AJEST2017.2360
Traoré S. B., Ali A., Tinni S. H., Samake M., Garba I., Maigari, I. & Ndiaye O. (2017). Characterizing and modeling crop yield and climate relationships to support adaptation in the Sudano–Sahelian zone of West Africa. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 236, 1–13
UNCCD. (2017). The Global Land Outlook. United Nations Convention to Combat Desertification
UNDRR. (2020). Human cost of disasters: An overview of the last 20 years (2000–2019). United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction
UNEP (2017). Ecosystem-based Adaptation for Food Security. United Nations Environment Programme
UNISDR (2015). Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction 2015-2030. United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction
Wagenaar D. J., Dahm R. J., Diermanse F. L. M., Dias W. P. S., Dissanayake D. M. S. S., Vajja H. P., & Bouwer L. M. (2019). Evaluating adaptation measures for reducing flood risk: A case study in the city of Colombo, Sri Lanka. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 37, 101162
Wheeler T., & von Braun J. (2013). Climate Change Impacts on Global Food Security. Science, 341(6145), 508-513
WHO (2017). Environmental Health in Emergencies and Disasters: A Practical Guide. World Health Organization Wisner B., Blaikie P., Cannon T., & Davis I. (2004). At Risk: Natural Hazards, People's Vulnerability and Disasters (2nd ed.). Routledge. https://doi.org/10.4324/9780203428764
Yaro J. A., & Hesselberg J. (2016). Adaptation to climate change and variability in rural West Africa. Springer
Zhang Q., Xu C.-Y., Chen Y. D., & Chen X. (2013). Flood frequency under changing climate: A review. Journal of Hydrology, 505, 139–149. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2013.09.038
Zhou Q., Leng G., & Huang M. (2019). Impacts of future climate change on urban flood volumes in the United States. Journal of Hydrology, 577, 123984. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2019.123984
Downloads
Published
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2026 Narouwa et al.

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.

